Last year, the significant increase in the export of steel products was mainly due to the low base of steel exports in 2009. Today, under the background of external pressure and internal policies, the export of steel products in China may decline in 2011.
According to customs statistics, in 2010 China exported 42.56 million tons of steel, an increase of 73.03% over 2009, and net exports of 26.13 million tons of steel, an increase of 19.19 million tons, an increase of 276.5%. Excessive growth rates also seem to have caused some industry players to continue their expectations of high growth in steel exports in 2011. Sure enough, in January this year, the export performance of steel mills was extremely eye-catching. In particular, the fact that the export volume of HRC increased significantly appeared to continue to reflect the myth of high growth in steel exports.
However, the market analysis report of the China Iron and Steel Association was just a cold water to the domestic steel companies. The author found through an interview that for the relatively optimistic steel export performance in January, many analysts considered it difficult to continue. “The significant increase in steel exports last year was mainly due to the low base of steel exports in 2009. Today, under the background of external pressure and internal policies, the steel export in China may decline by about 15% to 35 million tons in 2011. †Xu Xiangchun, Director of Steel Information, said.
In the end of January, the market analysis report issued by the China Iron and Steel Association warned that the export environment of China's steel products is not optimistic this year.
"Although the international economy is recovering, the demand for the international steel market has not been substantially restored," Xu Xiangchun said. Moreover, according to the China Steel Association’s early warning, regions or countries that have imported large quantities of domestic steel have now begun to use sufficient horsepower to increase domestic steel production. Take South Korea, India and ASEAN as examples, China’s steel exports account for 48.2% of China’s total steel exports. However, under the background of rapid growth in global steel production capacity, only South Korea has added 15 million tons of steel production capacity. "And the capacity of new steel mills in countries such as India and Vietnam will also be released this year," said He Rongliang, a senior analyst at the China National Circulation Productivity Promotion Center. "At this time, China's steel exports are bound to be affected."
According to customs statistics, in 2010 China exported 42.56 million tons of steel, an increase of 73.03% over 2009, and net exports of 26.13 million tons of steel, an increase of 19.19 million tons, an increase of 276.5%. Excessive growth rates also seem to have caused some industry players to continue their expectations of high growth in steel exports in 2011. Sure enough, in January this year, the export performance of steel mills was extremely eye-catching. In particular, the fact that the export volume of HRC increased significantly appeared to continue to reflect the myth of high growth in steel exports.
However, the market analysis report of the China Iron and Steel Association was just a cold water to the domestic steel companies. The author found through an interview that for the relatively optimistic steel export performance in January, many analysts considered it difficult to continue. “The significant increase in steel exports last year was mainly due to the low base of steel exports in 2009. Today, under the background of external pressure and internal policies, the steel export in China may decline by about 15% to 35 million tons in 2011. †Xu Xiangchun, Director of Steel Information, said.
In the end of January, the market analysis report issued by the China Iron and Steel Association warned that the export environment of China's steel products is not optimistic this year.
"Although the international economy is recovering, the demand for the international steel market has not been substantially restored," Xu Xiangchun said. Moreover, according to the China Steel Association’s early warning, regions or countries that have imported large quantities of domestic steel have now begun to use sufficient horsepower to increase domestic steel production. Take South Korea, India and ASEAN as examples, China’s steel exports account for 48.2% of China’s total steel exports. However, under the background of rapid growth in global steel production capacity, only South Korea has added 15 million tons of steel production capacity. "And the capacity of new steel mills in countries such as India and Vietnam will also be released this year," said He Rongliang, a senior analyst at the China National Circulation Productivity Promotion Center. "At this time, China's steel exports are bound to be affected."
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