Overcapacity expects imidacloprid to expand its downstream products

Recently, the domestic professional market research institute Ximei Information released the latest "China's imidacloprid market research and forecast" report, the report analyzes the entire industry of imidacloprid production, research and development, prices, exports, trade flows, consumer demand and overseas market key from a global perspective. The competitiveness and production cost of the company, and forecast the development trend in the next five years.

The report pointed out that imidacloprid, the world's largest neonicotinoid insecticide, is entering a critical period of rapid development. The domestic production of imidacloprid has basically occupied the domestic consumer market. China recorded in 2010 that the production of imidacloprid raw drugs exceeded 13,000. Tons, accounting for more than 60% of the world's total 20,000 tons. China is the world's largest supplier of imidacloprid. Its production capacity exceeded 25,000 tons in 2010. However, the trend of overcapacity has become very obvious. The operating rate of most of the original drug manufacturers is less than 50%.

Since 2008, the imidacloprid domestic market has grown slowly in recent years due to the increasing pest resistance of imidacloprid in parts of Jiangsu and Zhejiang. In 2010, domestic consumption was almost flat compared to 2009. With the significant advantages of high quality and low price, China's imidacloprid products have greatly promoted the development of the global market. Leading companies such as imidacloprid in China, such as Jiangsu Kesheng, are actively pursuing technological innovation to enhance the competitiveness of future global markets. At the same time, due to the improvement of industry barriers and strict environmental protection policies, the concentration of imidacloprid products will become higher and higher. The production capacity of 13 drug manufacturers including Jiangsu Kesheng, Qingdao Hailier and Hebei Noda will be in 2010. More than 1,000 tons.

However, due to the huge demand in overseas markets, China's imidacloprid production will continue to increase, and the compound annual growth rate is expected to remain at around 5% in 2011-2015. At the same time, domestic exports of the imidacloprid industry account for the share of total production. Will continue to increase.

As many countries grow vegetables, fruit trees and wheat, and the developed countries have also increased imports of imidacloprid products from China, the entire export volume increased rapidly from 2008 to 2010, but due to the financial crisis, the export volume of imidacloprid in 2010 (100%) has declined, but the rate of decline has been small. In addition, with the improvement of domestic product quality and brand, the export ratio of domestic imidacloprid is increasing, and the product export structure tends to be reasonable. It is predicted that with the dependence of overseas markets on Chinese imidacloprid in the next five years, the export volume of imidacloprid will continue to grow. The annual growth rate of imidacloprid in China is 7.2%.

In 2008, the export market value of imidacloprid in China reached the highest point in history. Since 2009-2010, the prices of the original drugs and preparations of the products have dropped significantly, and there has been an increase in prices and prices. In 2010, the total export of imidacloprid in China reached 15,000 tons. The total export volume of products after discounting is approximately 7,000 tons, accounting for more than half of the total output in 2010.

The research report shows that the current main imidacloprid formulations in China include 10% WP, 20% SL, 25% WP and 5% EC, of ​​which 10% WP is the largest consumer, accounting for 40% in China in 2010, due to more insect pest resistance. The more serious, the increasing demand for high-level imidacloprid formulations, such as 50% WP, 70% WP and so on.

Imidacloprid is mainly used in crops such as rice, wheat, soybeans, and cotton to control fly locusts. Rice is the largest application area for imidacloprid consumption, and wheat accounts for the second place. The two crops consumed about 2,500 tons of imidacloprid in 2010 (Folding). 100), which accounts for 60% of the total consumption. Due to the influence of pest resistance, the consumption of imidacloprid in rice will decline in the coming years. As for wheat, cotton, fruits and vegetables, the consumption of imidacloprid will maintain steady growth.

From 2008 to 2010, 95% of the original drug imidacloprid (ex-factory price) fell from the highest USD28,000 in June 2008 to USD1300 in early 2010, and the average price of USD14000 in 2009 decreased by 45% compared with the same period of last year. The main reason for the price drop is the depressed market and price war. Because of the increase in raw material prices, the price of imidacloprid raw drugs has picked up in late 2010, but the profit margin of the production companies is still limited. Therefore, it is necessary to develop formulations to seek greater profits from downstream products. Moreover, the imidacloprid collaboration group also played a role in resisting disorderly competition and unlicensed manufacturers.

According to Liu Rang, an information researcher of Western America, 2010 can be said to be the year of integration of the imidacloprid industry. Due to lighter occurrence of insect pests, low self-discipline in the industry, and disorderly market competition, imidacloprid production companies are struggling. At the same time, from a global perspective, imidacloprid is still a very promising product. Bayer's imidacloprid product has become the company's most eye-catching profit growth point for several years. Now that it has entered the most critical period for the development of the imidacloprid industry, the industry has increased the threshold, the establishment of the imidacloprid collaboration group, and the pesticide industry policy and environmental protection requirements have undoubtedly brought hope for industrial upgrading and future development. Domestic enterprises should speed up the integration of the entire industry of imidacloprid, attach importance to clean technology, develop potential imidacloprid preparations, increase brand building, and continuously improve their international competitiveness.

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